Coffee C dropped by over 4.3%, while new york Cocoa dropped by about 0.5%, leaving the highest level in history. In late new york on Wednesday (December 11th), ICE raw sugar futures rose by 1.33% and ICE white sugar futures rose by 0.50%. ICE coffee "C" futures fell 4.35% to 319.60 cents/pound, after reaching 348.35 cents at 19:51 on December 10th. Robusta coffee futures fell 2.50% to 5101 per ton, and reached 5694 on November 29th. New york cocoa futures fell 0.47% to US$ 10,507/ton; According to Bloomberg data, it has hit a record high for several days since it broke through the top of $8,984 on April 24 on November 22, and it reached 10,690 on December 10. London cocoa futures rose 0.30% to 8429, reaching 8500 at 17:30 Beijing time-also hitting a record high for several days in a row. ICE cotton futures rose 1.02%.Argentina's MERVAL index closed up 3.94% to 2.288 million points.Inflation data released the Fed's interest rate cut in December, but it lit up a yellow light for next year. The latest inflation data may make the Fed more cautious about the pace of interest rate cut, but not now. The latest report shows that inflation in the United States in November was in line with expectations, so investors still generally expect the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates by 25 basis points next week. However, stubborn price pressure also confirms the concern that the progress towards the Fed's 2% target may stagnate. This concern may prompt officials to be more restrained in predicting the number of interest rate cuts in 2025, while waiting for more evidence that inflation will steadily reach the target. Fed policymakers will release new forecasts and interest rate outlook at the end of the policy meeting in Washington on December 17-18. "I think they can safely cut interest rates by 25 basis points in December. The market is ready for this, "said Loretta Mester, former president of Cleveland Federal Reserve Bank. "However, they must reconsider next year, because now it seems that the progress of inflation has really stagnated."
The US dollar index rose on the 11th. The US dollar index, which measures the US dollar against six major currencies, rose by 0.29% that day and closed at 106.710 in the foreign exchange market. As of the end of the new york foreign exchange market, 1 euro was exchanged for 1.0492 US dollars, lower than 1.0527 US dollars in the previous trading day; One pound was exchanged for $1.2745, down from $1.2774 in the previous trading day. One dollar was exchanged for 152.65 yen, higher than 151.93 yen in the previous trading day; One dollar was exchanged for 0.8848 Swiss francs, higher than 0.8829 Swiss francs in the previous trading day; 1 dollar to 1.4162 Canadian dollars, down from 1.4165 Canadian dollars in the previous trading day; One dollar was exchanged for SEK 10.9791, higher than SEK 10.9750 in the previous trading day.The CEO of Bank of America said that the sales and trading business is expected to hit a new high in the fourth quarter, and the income of investment banking business jumped. Brian Moynihan, CEO of Bank of America, said that the quarterly income of the bank's investment banking business is expected to increase by at least 25% year-on-year, and the sales and trading business is expected to hit a new high. Moynihan said at the Goldman Sachs Financial Services Conference on Wednesday that with the "continuous growth" of transactions, the investment banking revenue in the fourth quarter may exceed $1.4 billion. Analysts had expected that the investment banking revenue of the second largest bank in the United States would be close to $1.5 billion, equivalent to an increase of about 27%. At the same time, Moynihan said that the sales and trading business should once again record year-on-year growth, achieving medium-to-high single-digit growth in the last quarter of this year. Analysts predict that market revenue will increase by 8.2% to $4.06 billion. The business led by Jim DeMare "has reached a higher level, but we will set a record in the fourth quarter, so we feel good," Moynihan said.Inflation data released the Fed's interest rate cut in December, but it lit up a yellow light for next year. The latest inflation data may make the Fed more cautious about the pace of interest rate cut, but not now. The latest report shows that inflation in the United States in November was in line with expectations, so investors still generally expect the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates by 25 basis points next week. However, stubborn price pressure also confirms the concern that the progress towards the Fed's 2% target may stagnate. This concern may prompt officials to be more restrained in predicting the number of interest rate cuts in 2025, while waiting for more evidence that inflation will steadily reach the target. Fed policymakers will release new forecasts and interest rate outlook at the end of the policy meeting in Washington on December 17-18. "I think they can safely cut interest rates by 25 basis points in December. The market is ready for this, "said Loretta Mester, former president of Cleveland Federal Reserve Bank. "However, they must reconsider next year, because now it seems that the progress of inflation has really stagnated."
Dollar deposits and wealth management are popular again. Experts suggest paying attention to exchange risk. Although it is in the cycle of interest rate reduction by the Federal Reserve, dollar deposit products are still attractive to investors. Since December, a number of bank wealth management subsidiaries have intensively put on shelves US dollar wealth management products. Judging from the rate of return, the performance benchmark of some US dollar fixed-income wealth management products currently launched is close to 5%, but the performance benchmark of RMB wealth management products with the same risk level is mostly around 2%. According to the statistics of Puyi standard data, as of December 9, there were 1,312 surviving products in US dollar financing, and the surviving scale of US dollar financing reached 281.927 billion yuan, which has doubled from the surviving scale of 140.351 billion yuan at the end of December last year. In addition, although banks have previously lowered the interest rate of dollar deposit products, from the current point of view, the interest rate of some banks' dollar deposits remains above 4%, attracting many customers to buy. In addition, the annual interest rates of US dollar deposit products issued by banks such as Ningbo Bank Co., Ltd. and hengfeng bank Co., Ltd. are also between 3% and 4%. According to industry insiders, under the Fed's interest rate cut cycle, the main reason for the high heat of dollar wealth management and dollar deposits is the exchange rate expectation of a strong dollar. If the market expects the US dollar to appreciate or remain stable, holding US dollar assets (such as US dollar wealth management and US dollar deposits) can benefit from the potential exchange rate appreciation even if interest rates fall. In addition, in order to diversify risks, some investors choose to allocate part of their funds to US dollar assets to realize diversification of asset allocation. (Securities Daily)The Israeli army said it had withdrawn from the Shyam area in southern Lebanon. On the evening of 11th local time, the Israel Defense Forces announced that according to the ceasefire agreement reached with Hezbollah in Lebanon, the troops had withdrawn from the Shyam area in southern Lebanon that morning, and Lebanese Armed Forces soldiers would be deployed in the area together with the United Nations Interim Force in Lebanon. The Israeli military says it is still deployed in other parts of southern Lebanon and will continue to fight any threat.Citigroup raised the carnival target price from $28.00 to $30.00.